Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 2.899626 3.466110 4.099334 4.857474 5.738229 6.726835 7.918091
2025-11-16 2.088766 2.810613 3.702854 4.877933 6.374791 8.206888 10.606702
2025-11-23 1.593846 2.369265 3.411181 4.893994 6.926676 9.588657 13.306195
2025-11-30 1.245297 2.020967 3.141837 4.846475 7.332092 10.774745 15.840789
2025-12-07 0.951903 1.677329 2.798740 4.610785 7.403982 11.469815 17.733924
2025-12-14 0.777201 1.474702 2.619690 4.570991 7.727212 12.521240 20.200247
2025-12-21 0.646916 1.315652 2.476360 4.553390 8.062768 13.600546 22.782874
2025-12-28 0.587272 1.268174 2.507854 4.819927 8.872074 15.472473 26.733427
2026-01-04 0.517815 1.187029 2.464355 4.945063 9.449760 17.014550 30.277192
2026-01-11 0.468883 1.136179 2.466495 5.147366 10.174305 18.850470 34.435741
2026-01-18 0.406119 1.042941 2.371204 5.151680 10.538951 20.098582 37.696256
2026-01-25 0.336404 0.918936 2.193279 4.968948 10.532365 20.690058 39.861950
2026-02-01 0.277472 0.808069 2.027064 4.791667 10.525632 21.297742 42.141217
2026-02-08 0.241591 0.745721 1.956160 4.802159 10.886252 22.606302 45.782029
2026-02-15 0.211124 0.690152 1.891031 4.814988 11.250274 23.947387 49.579054
2026-02-22 0.181747 0.630147 1.804707 4.767233 11.480122 25.044392 52.992038
2026-03-01 0.147975 0.548107 1.648706 4.534719 11.285879 25.285230 54.773482
2026-03-08 0.128039 0.502735 1.578342 4.495427 11.508685 26.376658 58.287989
2026-03-15 0.111782 0.464657 1.520451 4.478060 11.777093 27.579167 62.102455
2026-03-22 0.107165 0.465115 1.569952 4.740665 12.718840 30.260963 69.089074
2026-03-29 0.098318 0.448148 1.566472 4.863965 13.342323 32.307388 74.894808
2026-04-05 0.092473 0.440791 1.590271 5.063313 14.167561 34.847324 81.884503
2026-04-12 0.082030 0.412530 1.545232 5.067563 14.513243 36.356526 86.787830